Gambles, 2024

Most starting pitchers can be considered gambles in one form or another. Some are gambles worth taking. Others should be avoided.

Here, we will discuss gambles to avoid and define them as SP who are likely to be significantly overvalued on draft day.

This doesn't mean you should avoid targeting all of the guys listed here, but it does mean that you should think twice before bidding full value on them.

Here's a closer look at 10 starting pitchers whose downside should give you pause on draft day.


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Chris Bassitt (RHP, TOR) has outperformed his expected ERA in each of the past six seasons. His ability to induce soft contact has been the driver of his success. The average exit velocity against him has been in the game's top 20th...

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Jakob Junis quietly had a really strong finish to his 2023 season, making him an ideal profit play if he can demonstrate the rotation durability he showed earlier in his career.
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